October 15, 2019

Recently, a considerable number of highly reputable professionals and heads of large institutions have come out with unusually clear and stern warnings about what lies ahead in the economy and the markets. The Royal Bank of Scotland, the BIS, JP Morgan, just to name a few, have all issued warnings about the likelihood of a major slump or even a crash in global financial markets - notably the stock and credit markets – before w...

September 3, 2018

Years of loose monetary policy - not just in the United States - have fuelled a credit bubble that, more so than is generally understood, exposes world economies to substantial risks. These risks are not limited to financial markets. They will spill over into the “real economy”. The subprime crisis is but the first sign of a larger credit crunch and economic crisis.

August 9, 2018

In Switzerland, as in any mountainous region, summer thunderstorms tend to erupt at higher altitudes around the mountain peaks. Thus, it is not uncommon to have perfectly calm and sunny weather down below, while large masses of rain will already be falling higher up. Locals and experienced outdoor folks know the implications. Swimming in alpine rivers under such circumstances is not a good idea. Every summer, we hear of unfort...

“Financial markets are not yet pricing in US over-indebtedness. If they did, the world would be heading towards a ‘blood-red abyss’.” - Professor Laurence J. Kotlikoff

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